The Economic Times
14, Feb, 2011
TOKYO: Japan surrendered its 42-year ranking as the world's second-biggest economy to China in 2010, after data on Monday showed a fourth-quarter contraction caused by weaker consumer spending and a strong yen.
While Japan was expected to fall behind a surging China in the year, the data underlined the weak state of a Japanese economy burdened by deflation, soft domestic demand and pressured by the industrialised world's biggest debt.
"It is difficult for the deflation-plagued Japanese economy to achieve self-sustained growth," said Naoki Murakami, chief economist at Monex Securities.
While China's leap forward reflects a shift in economic power as the country transforms itself from poverty-hit communist state to global heavyweight, it highlights the need for Japan to re-energise its economy, analysts said.
Its post-war "economic miracle" put it at number two behind the United States for 42 years, but stagnation after its property bubble burst in the 1990s helped put booming China on course to supplant it this year.
However, Japan remains around 10 times richer on a per-capita basis, according to the International Monetary Fund.
Japan's real gross domestic product slipped by an annualised 1.1 percent in the October-December quarter as the expiration of auto subsidies hit car sales, a new tobacco tax sapped cigarette demand and a strong yen hurt exports.
While the first contraction in five quarters was not as severe as analyst expectations of a 2.4 percent slide, according to a Dow Jones Newswires poll of economists, Japanese GDP data is subject to constant revision.
The economy grew 3.9 percent in 2010, government data showed -- its first annual growth in three years. But this was not enough to keep it ahead of surging China.
Nominal GDP of $5.474 trillion in 2010 put it behind China's $5.879 trillion, the data showed.
Despite Japan crawling out of a severe year-long recession in 2009, its recovery remains fragile with deflation, high public debt, weak domestic demand and a strong yen all concerns for policymakers.
Last month Standard & Poor's cut Japan's credit rating one notch to "AA-" from "AA", saying the government lacked a "coherent strategy" to ease a debt running near 200 percent of GDP, the highest of any developed nation.
Nearly a third of government spending is being swallowed up by a social security system catering to a rapidly greying society, Standard & Poor's warned, with that ratio set to rise without reforms as Japan continues to age.
Prime Minister Naoto Kan's centre-left government has prioritised social security reform and a tax system overhaul, but has seen his approval ratings tumble and the opposition has so far refused to begin talks on the issue.
Private consumption, accounting for about 60 percent of Japan's GDP, slid by 0.7 percent on-quarter in Oct-Dec as subsidies for green car purchases expired and as cigarette sales were dented by Japan's biggest ever tobacco tax hike.
Exports slipped in the quarter as the Japanese yen surged to 15-year highs against the dollar, making Japanese goods more expensive overseas and eroding repatriated profits.
But many analysts expect the economy to rebound in the January-March quarter as the rising tide of global recovery lifts Japan, amid a recent pick up in corporate spending and exports.
"The contraction will not last long," said Murakami. "Companies' manufacturing activities are recovering rapidly in January-March this year from their bottom in October 2010."
The government said Japan's economy would be helped by recovery elsewhere and could reap the benefits of its huge neighbour China, the world's number-one export market.
"We welcome, as a neighboring nation, that China's economy is advancing rapidly," said Kaoru Yosano, minister for fiscal policy
Building social relevance while connecting one to another through global awareness.
Al-Awlaki 'Bin Laden of internet'
National Post / Postmedia News
Thursday February 10, 2011
Thursday February 10, 2011
Almost a decade after the 9/11 attacks on New York City and Washington, the U.S. government no longer considers Osama bin Laden the biggest terrorist threat to the United States.
Michael Leiter, the U.S. National Counterterrorism Center director, said the greater danger now comes from U.S.-born cleric Anwar al-Awlaki and his al-Qaeda ties in the Arabian Peninsula.
Testifying Wednesday before the House homeland security committee, Mr. Leiter told lawmakers that continued "offensive pressure" on bin Laden's Pakistani safe havens had substantially reduced al-Qaeda's ability to launch a "large-scale attack" on the United States.
But he said al-Awlaki had demonstrated some capability to strike at the United States from outside the country and had emerged as the primary influence over homegrown terrorists plotting to strike within the United States.
"I actually consider al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, with al-Awlaki as a leader within that organization, probably the most significant risk to the U.S. homeland," Mr. Leiter said. "I'm hesitant to rank them too personally, but [al-Awlaki is] certainly up there."
U.S. President Barack Obama's chief counterterrorism adviser, John Brennan, last December had described al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) as the "most operationally active node" of the al-Qaeda network. The Obama administration has authorized the Central Intelligence Agency to assassinate al-Awlaki.
Often described as the "bin Laden of the Internet," al-Awlaki has been cited for inspiring U.S. army Major Nidal Hasan, who is accused in the November 2009 shooting spree in Fort Hood, Texas, that left 13 dead and two dozen injured, through anti-American Internet postings and emails.
He is said to have trained Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab, accused in the Christmas Day 2009 attempt to blow up a Detroit-bound Northwest Airlines jet.
Al-Awlaki has also taken credit for organizing last fall's plot to plant explosives aboard two U.S.-bound cargo planes from Yemen, and reportedly influenced failed Times Square bomber Faisal Shahzad.
Of particular concern to the Obama administration is al-Awlaki's effort to radicalize Muslims in the United States. He exchanged 18 emails with Hasan in the year before to the Fort Hood shooting.
"Al-Awlaki is the most well-known English-speaking ideologue who is speaking directly to folks here in the homeland," Mr. Leiter said. "There are several others who we're concerned with, but I think al-Awlaki probably does have the greatest audience and the like. So, in that sense he is the most important."
U.S. Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano, testifying alongside Mr. Leiter, said bin Laden's Pakistanbased al-Qaeda "is at one of its weakest points in the past decade" and has been forced into a defensive crouch because of "reduced safe haven and personnel losses."
The overall terrorist threat to the United States "may be at its most heightened state since the attacks nearly 10 years ago," Ms. Napolitano said, because of offshoot terrorist groups such as the Yemen-based AQAP that are placing greater emphasis on recruiting and radicalizing U.S. Muslims to carry out attacks.
"They are ... encouraging individuals in the West to carry out their own small-scale attacks, which require less of the co-ordination and planning that could raise red flags and lead to an attack disruption," she said.
Michael Leiter, the U.S. National Counterterrorism Center director, said the greater danger now comes from U.S.-born cleric Anwar al-Awlaki and his al-Qaeda ties in the Arabian Peninsula.
Testifying Wednesday before the House homeland security committee, Mr. Leiter told lawmakers that continued "offensive pressure" on bin Laden's Pakistani safe havens had substantially reduced al-Qaeda's ability to launch a "large-scale attack" on the United States.
But he said al-Awlaki had demonstrated some capability to strike at the United States from outside the country and had emerged as the primary influence over homegrown terrorists plotting to strike within the United States.
"I actually consider al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, with al-Awlaki as a leader within that organization, probably the most significant risk to the U.S. homeland," Mr. Leiter said. "I'm hesitant to rank them too personally, but [al-Awlaki is] certainly up there."
U.S. President Barack Obama's chief counterterrorism adviser, John Brennan, last December had described al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) as the "most operationally active node" of the al-Qaeda network. The Obama administration has authorized the Central Intelligence Agency to assassinate al-Awlaki.
Often described as the "bin Laden of the Internet," al-Awlaki has been cited for inspiring U.S. army Major Nidal Hasan, who is accused in the November 2009 shooting spree in Fort Hood, Texas, that left 13 dead and two dozen injured, through anti-American Internet postings and emails.
He is said to have trained Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab, accused in the Christmas Day 2009 attempt to blow up a Detroit-bound Northwest Airlines jet.
Al-Awlaki has also taken credit for organizing last fall's plot to plant explosives aboard two U.S.-bound cargo planes from Yemen, and reportedly influenced failed Times Square bomber Faisal Shahzad.
Of particular concern to the Obama administration is al-Awlaki's effort to radicalize Muslims in the United States. He exchanged 18 emails with Hasan in the year before to the Fort Hood shooting.
"Al-Awlaki is the most well-known English-speaking ideologue who is speaking directly to folks here in the homeland," Mr. Leiter said. "There are several others who we're concerned with, but I think al-Awlaki probably does have the greatest audience and the like. So, in that sense he is the most important."
U.S. Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano, testifying alongside Mr. Leiter, said bin Laden's Pakistanbased al-Qaeda "is at one of its weakest points in the past decade" and has been forced into a defensive crouch because of "reduced safe haven and personnel losses."
The overall terrorist threat to the United States "may be at its most heightened state since the attacks nearly 10 years ago," Ms. Napolitano said, because of offshoot terrorist groups such as the Yemen-based AQAP that are placing greater emphasis on recruiting and radicalizing U.S. Muslims to carry out attacks.
"They are ... encouraging individuals in the West to carry out their own small-scale attacks, which require less of the co-ordination and planning that could raise red flags and lead to an attack disruption," she said.
The Apocalypse, Mass Kills and the Magnetic Pole Shift
Timothy Bancroft-Hinchey
Timothy Bancroft-HincheyThe myriad of reasons given for the mass deaths of various species of animals around the world is almost as baffling as the events themselves, lending credence to the notion that something very strange is going on. The list of incidents grows by the day and reaches staggering proportions. We must find an answer, and soon.Pravda.ru
The myriad of reasons given for the mass deaths of various species of animals around the world is almost as baffling as the events themselves, lending credence to the notion that something very strange is going on. The list of incidents grows by the day and reaches staggering proportions. We must find an answer, and soon.
The myriad of reasons given for the mass deaths of various species of animals around the world is almost as baffling as the events themselves, lending credence to the notion that something very strange is going on. The list of incidents grows by the day and reaches staggering proportions. We must find an answer, and soon.
The list of apocalyptic happenings from the end of 2010 to the beginning of 2011 is absolutely staggering: 450 birds dropped out of the sky in Baton Rouge, Lousiana (red-winged blackbirds, cowbirds, grackles an starlings). Why were they flocking together like that?
3,000 red-winged blackbirds in Beebe, Askansas. Why were they flying at night when they are not night-flyers? Why were they flocking as in a migration, when they do not do this?
Thousands of drum fish washed up along a stretch of the Arkansas River some twenty miles long; the explanation was poison but surely that would have been ascertained by now; still no results are available.
Two million small fish dead in Chesapeake Bay, Maryland; the reason they gave was the cold.
Thousands of fish in a Florida creek. It cannot have been the cold, the waters were mild. Dozens of coots (around 200) found dead on a Texas Highway at Big Cypress Creek.
But the killings have not only been in the United States of America. In Stockport, Greater Manchester, England, hundreds of fish have appeared dead on a pond; several other places in north-west England have reported mass fish kills; in southern England, in the county of Kent, 40,000 devil crabs were washed up dead on the sea-shore at Thanet. The reasons given in all these cases were cold weather, but then again it is always cold in Winter and this does not happen.
In Italy, 8,000 doves plummeted from the sky at Faenza. Reason: altitude sickness, poisoning or indigestion caused by greed. But birds do not simply crop till they drop.
In New Zealand hundreds of snapper fish were washed up dead on the beach at Coromandel;
In Sweden, 50 jackdaws fell from the sky at New Year.
In Brazil a huge fish kill (100 tons) was discovered between Paranaguá, Antonina and Guaraqueçaba Pontal in Paraná State, leaving hundreds of fishermen destitute. Now surely this cannot have been due to cold water, Brazil is in mid-Summer.
The temperature argument cannot hold water, otherwise it would be valid for all the areas affected. How can some mass kills be due to temperature change when there are low temperatures every winter and when there are kills in warmer areas as well?
One theory being postulated tentatively at present is the shift of the Magnetic North Pole eastwards towards Russia. However, this does not take into account the fact that the magnetic pole is constantly shifting in loops some 50 miles wide every day although the movement does appear to be accelerating and has been doing so for several years.
Could this be the explanation? Certainly it is better than saying birds died of altitude sickness and indigestion through greed...
Fears Over Pakistan Nuclear Arms
Al Jazeera
Diplomats working for the US and UK have had concerns that Pakistani nuclear material may be given by a state employee to groups opposing Western governments, according to confidential cables released by the WikiLeaks website.
The cables also show that the diplomats worried that a nuclear armed Pakistan may undertake a grave conflict with neighbouring India, with which it maintains a mutual enmity.
In one cable sent in early 2009, Anne Patterson, the US ambassador to Pakistan, told Washington: "Our major concern is not having an Islamic militant steal an entire weapon but rather the chance someone working in government of Pakistan facilities could gradually smuggle enough material out to eventually make a weapon".
'Deep concerns'
A September 2009 US diplomatic cable stated that in a meeting between US and UK foreign office teams, Mariot Laslie, a senior UK official, said: "The UK has deep concerns about the safety and security of Pakistan's nuclear weapons."
The cable added that Leslie had asserted that nuclear proliferation was the biggest danger to other nations, but that it "ranks lower than terrorism on the public's list of perceived threats".
The trove of classified US diplomatic cables that the whistleblower website WikiLeaks began releasing on Sunday, showed the tensions present between Washington and the restive Pakiatan, part of the forefront of the US battle against the Taliban and al-Qaeda.
The US undertakes unmanned drone attacks in northern Pakistan, where Taliban and al-Qaeda groups launch attacks in the country and against the US military fighting in neighbouring Afghanistan.
A cable from 2008, reporting a US intelligence briefing said: "Despite pending economic catastrophe, Pakistan is producing nuclear weapons at a faster rate than any other country in the world."
Cables also showed that Russia conveyed its concern to the US over the transfer of nuclear materials in Pakistan.
In February 2010, Yuri Korolev, from the Russian foreign ministry, said to US officials: "Islamists are not only seeking power in Pakistan but are also trying to get their hands on nuclear materials."
"There are 120,000-130,000 people directly involved in Pakistan's nuclear and missile programmes.
"There is no way to guarantee that all are 100 per cent loyal and reliable."
The release of the classified documents has infuriated Washington, which called the leak an "attack on the international community".
![]() |
The US undertakes drone attacks in Pakistan against Taliban and al-Qaeda |
Diplomats working for the US and UK have had concerns that Pakistani nuclear material may be given by a state employee to groups opposing Western governments, according to confidential cables released by the WikiLeaks website.
The cables also show that the diplomats worried that a nuclear armed Pakistan may undertake a grave conflict with neighbouring India, with which it maintains a mutual enmity.
In one cable sent in early 2009, Anne Patterson, the US ambassador to Pakistan, told Washington: "Our major concern is not having an Islamic militant steal an entire weapon but rather the chance someone working in government of Pakistan facilities could gradually smuggle enough material out to eventually make a weapon".
'Deep concerns'
A September 2009 US diplomatic cable stated that in a meeting between US and UK foreign office teams, Mariot Laslie, a senior UK official, said: "The UK has deep concerns about the safety and security of Pakistan's nuclear weapons."
The cable added that Leslie had asserted that nuclear proliferation was the biggest danger to other nations, but that it "ranks lower than terrorism on the public's list of perceived threats".
The trove of classified US diplomatic cables that the whistleblower website WikiLeaks began releasing on Sunday, showed the tensions present between Washington and the restive Pakiatan, part of the forefront of the US battle against the Taliban and al-Qaeda.
The US undertakes unmanned drone attacks in northern Pakistan, where Taliban and al-Qaeda groups launch attacks in the country and against the US military fighting in neighbouring Afghanistan.
A cable from 2008, reporting a US intelligence briefing said: "Despite pending economic catastrophe, Pakistan is producing nuclear weapons at a faster rate than any other country in the world."
Cables also showed that Russia conveyed its concern to the US over the transfer of nuclear materials in Pakistan.
In February 2010, Yuri Korolev, from the Russian foreign ministry, said to US officials: "Islamists are not only seeking power in Pakistan but are also trying to get their hands on nuclear materials."
"There are 120,000-130,000 people directly involved in Pakistan's nuclear and missile programmes.
"There is no way to guarantee that all are 100 per cent loyal and reliable."
The release of the classified documents has infuriated Washington, which called the leak an "attack on the international community".
Scientists Aim to Map and Save Endangered Habitats
NZ Herald
From mangrove swamps in Venezuela to lowland forests in Indonesia, entire communities of plants and animals are under threat. Now scientists are figuring out how to catalogue and map the world's most threatened ecosystems, just like their familiar lists of endangered species.
Some experts say drawing up a global "Red List" of vanishing ecosystems would help them spot looming crises caused by climate change, cutting of forests and many other problems. The list also would sharpen the focus on areas that should be handled as conservation priorities.
Along the shore of Venezuela's Lake Maracaibo, runoff filled with sediment and pesticides has been smothering animals that once lived among the roots of the mangrove trees, including crabs, fish hatchlings and shellfish, said Luz Esther Sanchez, a marine biologist and ecologist. She has been studying such dead zones and says saving the mangroves requires a comprehensive effort to reduce water pollution and halt the clearing of other forests upstream.
"Declaring the mangrove ecosystem threatened would be very useful for conservation," Sanchez said.
"If we can get a good, rigorous scientific system in place that is relatively easy to monitor worldwide, ... you can follow these changes and describe them and ring the alarm bell where things might go wrong," said Dutch conservation expert Piet Wit.
He chairs the Commission of Ecosystem Management of the International Union for Conservation of Nature, or IUCN, which maintains the Red List of thousands of threatened plants and animals that is the international standard.
Some scientists caution that agreeing on precise categories to divide up habitats would be a monumental task. But many already agree on some ecosystems that are threatened or endangered, including many coral reefs, salt marshes, mountain habitats threatened by rising global temperatures, grasslands in southern Russia and Brazil's Atlantic forest.
Logging poses a serious threat to the lowland forests on Indonesia's Borneo Island that are home to endangered orangutans. In the Andes, expanding farmland has fragmented the cloud forests where spectacled bears live.
"You usually get ecosystem decline occurring first, and then species decline later on," said Jon Paul Rodriguez, a Venezuelan conservation biologist who is leading the IUCN working group.
"The ecosystem Red List would identify places for preventative conservation," said Rodriguez, who joined 20 other experts in laying out proposals in a November article published online by the journal Conservation Biology.
The list of habitats devastated by people has been growing. The once-vast Aral Sea between the former Soviet republics of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan shrank by about 90 percent due to diversions of water, leaving behind a salty wasteland and abandoned fishing boats, and ruining the local economy. North American tall grass prairies have largely vanished along with the game animals that once thrived in them. Some rivers such as the Rio Grande have been strangled by heavy pumping and now barely reach the sea.
Some experts point to Easter Island as a particularly catastrophic ecosystem collapse. Centuries ago, the South Pacific island's inhabitants erected the giant head-shaped stone statues known as Moais. They cut down the island's forests, and some researchers have concluded that the destruction of the island's fragile environment probably contributed to the civilisation's collapse.
Today, some efforts to save threatened species appear to be working. Humpback whales, for instance, have rebounded from "vulnerable" to being at low risk of extinction due to the international ban on commercial whaling. Strict regulations have permitted the recovery of some types of fish that once were heavily overfished, such as striped bass along the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast.
One study released last month during the UN conference in Japan found that efforts to save endangered animals are making a difference. The report found that dozens of threatened species on the Red List have seen improvements in their status, and concluded that the overall march toward extinction would have been about 20 percent faster if no conservation steps had been taken.
"Species Red Lists have already been a huge policy success, so there's reason to think that ecosystem Red Lists could be too, and could complement them," said Kathryn Rodriguez-Clark, an ecology and conservation specialist at the Venezuelan Institute of Scientific Research who is part of the IUCN effort.
Scientists and environmentalists have previously come up with their own systems for targeting habitats in danger of disappearing. Researchers in South Africa, Australia and Venezuela have begun to list and map out threatened ecosystems. The World Wildlife Fund has a list of biologically rich "ecoregions" that it uses in prioritising areas to protect.
The new effort aims to come up with a uniform, standard system of classifying habitats. Rodriguez said such a system could help identify new conservation goals, drawing on data from satellite images.
"When you take a view that is big-scale, you may end up finding things that were not on people's radar screens," said Rodriguez, a researcher at the Venezuelan Institute of Scientific Research.
Stuart Pimm, a Duke University professor and expert on preventing species extinction, called the effort a good idea but said he is sceptical about how it can be put into practice.
"It's much, much more difficult to define an ecosystem than it is to define a species," Pimm said. "And the more finely you define things, the more tricky it's going to be."
Pimm said he is concerned it would be difficult to come up with "a consistent set of definitions that will survive political pressure" and hold up when tough environmental management decisions need to be made.
The researchers promoting a global list of ecosystems are aiming for the proposal to be formally adopted by IUCN in 2012. Next would come the process of agreeing on lists and mapping out threatened places.
John Benson, a senior plant ecologist at the Botanic Gardens Trust in Sydney, Australia, who is part of the effort, has spent 11 years developing a system for classifying and assessing threats to types of vegetation in his home state of New South Wales.
He said even in poor countries that would not be prepared to adopt new regulations aimed at protecting habitats, endangered ecosystem lists could be used to "raise the profile of types of ecosystems for directing effort and funds toward protecting them."
In the case of Venezuela's coastal mangroves, Sanchez said that species-specific conservation measures are insufficient because the habitat is being degraded by muddy water that comes down streams and rivers from areas where mountain forests have been felled. She said runoff filled with pesticides is also likely taking a toll, and that in some parts of western Venezuela - which is dotted with oil rigs - leaks from oil pipelines have done damage.
![]() |
Logging poses a serious threat to thelowland forests on Borneo Island that are home to orangutans. |
Some experts say drawing up a global "Red List" of vanishing ecosystems would help them spot looming crises caused by climate change, cutting of forests and many other problems. The list also would sharpen the focus on areas that should be handled as conservation priorities.
Along the shore of Venezuela's Lake Maracaibo, runoff filled with sediment and pesticides has been smothering animals that once lived among the roots of the mangrove trees, including crabs, fish hatchlings and shellfish, said Luz Esther Sanchez, a marine biologist and ecologist. She has been studying such dead zones and says saving the mangroves requires a comprehensive effort to reduce water pollution and halt the clearing of other forests upstream.
"Declaring the mangrove ecosystem threatened would be very useful for conservation," Sanchez said.
"People stand up to defend dolphins. People stand up to defend turtles. But I've never seen them defend the mangrove forest with the same vehemence."
An international working group of biologists and conservation experts has been developing a system for classifying threats to ecosystems, and in October presented an initial blueprint at a UN conference on biodiversity in Nagoya, Japan."If we can get a good, rigorous scientific system in place that is relatively easy to monitor worldwide, ... you can follow these changes and describe them and ring the alarm bell where things might go wrong," said Dutch conservation expert Piet Wit.
He chairs the Commission of Ecosystem Management of the International Union for Conservation of Nature, or IUCN, which maintains the Red List of thousands of threatened plants and animals that is the international standard.
Some scientists caution that agreeing on precise categories to divide up habitats would be a monumental task. But many already agree on some ecosystems that are threatened or endangered, including many coral reefs, salt marshes, mountain habitats threatened by rising global temperatures, grasslands in southern Russia and Brazil's Atlantic forest.
Logging poses a serious threat to the lowland forests on Indonesia's Borneo Island that are home to endangered orangutans. In the Andes, expanding farmland has fragmented the cloud forests where spectacled bears live.
"You usually get ecosystem decline occurring first, and then species decline later on," said Jon Paul Rodriguez, a Venezuelan conservation biologist who is leading the IUCN working group.
"The ecosystem Red List would identify places for preventative conservation," said Rodriguez, who joined 20 other experts in laying out proposals in a November article published online by the journal Conservation Biology.
The list of habitats devastated by people has been growing. The once-vast Aral Sea between the former Soviet republics of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan shrank by about 90 percent due to diversions of water, leaving behind a salty wasteland and abandoned fishing boats, and ruining the local economy. North American tall grass prairies have largely vanished along with the game animals that once thrived in them. Some rivers such as the Rio Grande have been strangled by heavy pumping and now barely reach the sea.
Some experts point to Easter Island as a particularly catastrophic ecosystem collapse. Centuries ago, the South Pacific island's inhabitants erected the giant head-shaped stone statues known as Moais. They cut down the island's forests, and some researchers have concluded that the destruction of the island's fragile environment probably contributed to the civilisation's collapse.
Today, some efforts to save threatened species appear to be working. Humpback whales, for instance, have rebounded from "vulnerable" to being at low risk of extinction due to the international ban on commercial whaling. Strict regulations have permitted the recovery of some types of fish that once were heavily overfished, such as striped bass along the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast.
One study released last month during the UN conference in Japan found that efforts to save endangered animals are making a difference. The report found that dozens of threatened species on the Red List have seen improvements in their status, and concluded that the overall march toward extinction would have been about 20 percent faster if no conservation steps had been taken.
"Species Red Lists have already been a huge policy success, so there's reason to think that ecosystem Red Lists could be too, and could complement them," said Kathryn Rodriguez-Clark, an ecology and conservation specialist at the Venezuelan Institute of Scientific Research who is part of the IUCN effort.
Scientists and environmentalists have previously come up with their own systems for targeting habitats in danger of disappearing. Researchers in South Africa, Australia and Venezuela have begun to list and map out threatened ecosystems. The World Wildlife Fund has a list of biologically rich "ecoregions" that it uses in prioritising areas to protect.
The new effort aims to come up with a uniform, standard system of classifying habitats. Rodriguez said such a system could help identify new conservation goals, drawing on data from satellite images.
"When you take a view that is big-scale, you may end up finding things that were not on people's radar screens," said Rodriguez, a researcher at the Venezuelan Institute of Scientific Research.
Stuart Pimm, a Duke University professor and expert on preventing species extinction, called the effort a good idea but said he is sceptical about how it can be put into practice.
"It's much, much more difficult to define an ecosystem than it is to define a species," Pimm said. "And the more finely you define things, the more tricky it's going to be."
Pimm said he is concerned it would be difficult to come up with "a consistent set of definitions that will survive political pressure" and hold up when tough environmental management decisions need to be made.
The researchers promoting a global list of ecosystems are aiming for the proposal to be formally adopted by IUCN in 2012. Next would come the process of agreeing on lists and mapping out threatened places.
John Benson, a senior plant ecologist at the Botanic Gardens Trust in Sydney, Australia, who is part of the effort, has spent 11 years developing a system for classifying and assessing threats to types of vegetation in his home state of New South Wales.
He said even in poor countries that would not be prepared to adopt new regulations aimed at protecting habitats, endangered ecosystem lists could be used to "raise the profile of types of ecosystems for directing effort and funds toward protecting them."
In the case of Venezuela's coastal mangroves, Sanchez said that species-specific conservation measures are insufficient because the habitat is being degraded by muddy water that comes down streams and rivers from areas where mountain forests have been felled. She said runoff filled with pesticides is also likely taking a toll, and that in some parts of western Venezuela - which is dotted with oil rigs - leaks from oil pipelines have done damage.
"If the watershed isn't protected ... it's inevitably going to die, which is what's happening," she said. "It's all connected."
Scores Flee Pakistan Army Operation
Al Jazeera
February 7, 2011
Over 20,000 Pakistani villagers have fled military operations against armed fighters in Pakistan's tribal region of Mohmand near the Afghan border, a government official and the army has said.
Major General Athar Abbas, an army spokesman, confirmed on Friday that military operations were under way in Mohmand.
"We are targeting militant hideouts there," he said, adding that he hoped the displaced would soon be able to return.
According to a UNHCR estimate, if the fighting intensifies then up to 90,000 people (or 10,000 families) could be displaced by the end of February.
Over the last few days, the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) has registered about 25,000 people displaced as a result of fresh military operations against insurgents in the country's northwest.
The fighting began on January 27, involving aerial bombing, artillery and ground troops.
Roshan Khan Mehsud, the region's government representative, said that about 100 fighters had been killed so far, and the army has suffered "some casualties".
He did not, however, mention any civilian casualties.
Mehsud said that the people displaced by the Mohmand operations are living in a government building and schools.
The UNHCR has established two new camps, which are mainly accommodating people who have been fleeing the Sagi and Dawezai areas of Mohmand.
They have been given tents and other relief supplies, including sleeping mats, blankets, and kitchen utensils, and warm clothes for children.
People are also receiving hot meals and provision of food rations is being discussed with World Food Programme (WFP).
There have been reports by people arriving at camps that some young and middle-aged men have had difficulty leaving the conflict zone.
The authorities are being urged to ensure that any screening activities to identify fighters do not prevent civilians from leaving the area for safety.
Reporting restrictions
Pakistan's military has carried out several operations in the country's remote tribal regions bordering Afghanistan over the last three years.
It has claimed to have made significant gains against the fighters, though many hundreds of thousands of the displaced residents have yet to return.
There have been several accounts of civilian casualties and attacks by Taliban fighters in Pakistan remain routine.
Reporting independently in Mohmand and other border areas is not allowed by the army and is considered highly dangerous.
The US has been pushing Pakistan to take action against Taliban and al-Qaeda hide-outs in the northwest of the country.
Al Jazeera
February 7, 2011
Over 20,000 Pakistani villagers have fled military operations against armed fighters in Pakistan's tribal region of Mohmand near the Afghan border, a government official and the army has said.
Major General Athar Abbas, an army spokesman, confirmed on Friday that military operations were under way in Mohmand.
"We are targeting militant hideouts there," he said, adding that he hoped the displaced would soon be able to return.
According to a UNHCR estimate, if the fighting intensifies then up to 90,000 people (or 10,000 families) could be displaced by the end of February.
Over the last few days, the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) has registered about 25,000 people displaced as a result of fresh military operations against insurgents in the country's northwest.
The fighting began on January 27, involving aerial bombing, artillery and ground troops.
Roshan Khan Mehsud, the region's government representative, said that about 100 fighters had been killed so far, and the army has suffered "some casualties".
He did not, however, mention any civilian casualties.
Mehsud said that the people displaced by the Mohmand operations are living in a government building and schools.
The UNHCR has established two new camps, which are mainly accommodating people who have been fleeing the Sagi and Dawezai areas of Mohmand.
They have been given tents and other relief supplies, including sleeping mats, blankets, and kitchen utensils, and warm clothes for children.
People are also receiving hot meals and provision of food rations is being discussed with World Food Programme (WFP).
There have been reports by people arriving at camps that some young and middle-aged men have had difficulty leaving the conflict zone.
The authorities are being urged to ensure that any screening activities to identify fighters do not prevent civilians from leaving the area for safety.
Reporting restrictions
Pakistan's military has carried out several operations in the country's remote tribal regions bordering Afghanistan over the last three years.
It has claimed to have made significant gains against the fighters, though many hundreds of thousands of the displaced residents have yet to return.
There have been several accounts of civilian casualties and attacks by Taliban fighters in Pakistan remain routine.
Reporting independently in Mohmand and other border areas is not allowed by the army and is considered highly dangerous.
The US has been pushing Pakistan to take action against Taliban and al-Qaeda hide-outs in the northwest of the country.
Mass Anti-Government Rally in Serbia
Associated Press
Sun February 6, 2011
Tens of thousands of nationalist supporters rallied against Serbia’s pro-Western government on Saturday, demanding early elections amid the Balkan country’s deepening economic crisis.
About 10,000 police officers gathered near the rally in front of the state parliament in downtown Belgrade to prevent it from turning violent, as similar protests by right-wing protesters have in the past.
The former allies of the late autocratic leader Slobodan Milosevic want early elections because of the country’s rising poverty, unemployment and falling living standards. They also accuse the government of corruption.
The nationalists promise economic recovery, higher salaries and new jobs, if they come to power. They have risen in popularity amid Serbia’s economic turmoil triggered by the global recession and the slow pace of the country’s integration into the European Union — the government’s main political goal.
“For 10 years, Serbia has lived under a corrupt and incapable government,” Serbian Progressive Party leader Tomislav Nikolic told the rally, as the crowd chanted “Thieves! Thieves!” and “Changes! Changes!”
“We will save Serbia when we take over,” he said.
Opposition leaders addressing the crowd — estimated by police at about 55,000 — threatened to blockade the capital if their demands to move parliamentary elections forward from 2012 are not met within the next two months.
“This is the last warning,” said an opposition leader. “We don’t want to do it like in Egypt or Tunisia. We just want elections.”
Sun February 6, 2011
Tens of thousands of nationalist supporters rallied against Serbia’s pro-Western government on Saturday, demanding early elections amid the Balkan country’s deepening economic crisis.
About 10,000 police officers gathered near the rally in front of the state parliament in downtown Belgrade to prevent it from turning violent, as similar protests by right-wing protesters have in the past.
The former allies of the late autocratic leader Slobodan Milosevic want early elections because of the country’s rising poverty, unemployment and falling living standards. They also accuse the government of corruption.
The nationalists promise economic recovery, higher salaries and new jobs, if they come to power. They have risen in popularity amid Serbia’s economic turmoil triggered by the global recession and the slow pace of the country’s integration into the European Union — the government’s main political goal.
“For 10 years, Serbia has lived under a corrupt and incapable government,” Serbian Progressive Party leader Tomislav Nikolic told the rally, as the crowd chanted “Thieves! Thieves!” and “Changes! Changes!”
“We will save Serbia when we take over,” he said.
Opposition leaders addressing the crowd — estimated by police at about 55,000 — threatened to blockade the capital if their demands to move parliamentary elections forward from 2012 are not met within the next two months.
“This is the last warning,” said an opposition leader. “We don’t want to do it like in Egypt or Tunisia. We just want elections.”
Afghan Detainee Held Without Charges Dies in Guantanamo
The Siasat Daily
February 4, 2011
Cuba: An Afghan detainee held without charges at the Guantanamo Bay prison camp for nearly eight years has died after exercising, the US military says.
Awal Gul, 48, reportedly collapsed and died after working out on an exercise machine.
Detainees had brought him to a guard station for emergency help, but authorities were unable to revive him, AFP reported.
While the Naval Criminal Investigative Service has launched an inquiry into his death under their standard operating procedures, the US military has already stated that Gul died of natural causes, most likely a heart attack.
He is the seventh captive to die in the detention center since it opened back in 2002. Another man died of colon cancer, while five others of apparent suicide.
Gul had been held since 2002 over alleged ties to the Taliban and al-Qaeda. The US military claims that Gul was a Taliban recruiter and commander in Jalalabad.
Gul's death occurred after prisoners held a series of protests to mark the ninth anniversary of the prison's existence.
A total of 173 men are still housed at the prison, which US President Barack Obama has vowed to close.
With most of the detainees held indefinitely without trial, human rights groups and foreign governments have condemned the prison.
February 4, 2011
Cuba: An Afghan detainee held without charges at the Guantanamo Bay prison camp for nearly eight years has died after exercising, the US military says.
Awal Gul, 48, reportedly collapsed and died after working out on an exercise machine.
Detainees had brought him to a guard station for emergency help, but authorities were unable to revive him, AFP reported.
While the Naval Criminal Investigative Service has launched an inquiry into his death under their standard operating procedures, the US military has already stated that Gul died of natural causes, most likely a heart attack.
He is the seventh captive to die in the detention center since it opened back in 2002. Another man died of colon cancer, while five others of apparent suicide.
Gul had been held since 2002 over alleged ties to the Taliban and al-Qaeda. The US military claims that Gul was a Taliban recruiter and commander in Jalalabad.
Gul's death occurred after prisoners held a series of protests to mark the ninth anniversary of the prison's existence.
A total of 173 men are still housed at the prison, which US President Barack Obama has vowed to close.
With most of the detainees held indefinitely without trial, human rights groups and foreign governments have condemned the prison.
Catastrophic Drought in the Amazon
The Independent
February 3, 2011
A widespread drought in the Amazon rainforest last year caused the "lungs of the world" to produce more carbon dioxide than they absorbed, potentially leading to a dangerous acceleration of global warming. Scientists have calculated that the 2010 drought was more intense than the "one-in-100-year" drought of 2005.
They are predicting it will result in some eight billion tonnes of carbon dioxide being expelled from the Amazon rainforest, which is more than the total annual carbon emissions of the United States. For the second time in less than a decade, the earth's greatest rainforest released more carbon dioxide than it absorbed because many of its trees dried out and died.
Scientists believe that the highly unusual nature of the two droughts, which occurred in the space of just five years, may be the result of higher sea-surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic, which could also be influenced by global warming caused by the release of man-made emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. The Anglo-Brazilian team of researchers has emphasised that there is as yet no proof that the two highly unusual droughts in the Amazon are the direct result of rising carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere, but the scientists have warned that the world is gambling with its future if it fails to curb fossil fuel emissions.
Simon Lewis of Leeds University, the lead author of the study, said: "If greenhouse gas emissions contribute to Amazon droughts that in turn cause forests to release carbon, this feedback loop would be extremely concerning. Put more starkly, current emissions pathways risk playing Russian roulette with the world's largest rainforest.
"Two unusual and extreme droughts occurring within a decade may largely offset the carbon absorbed by intact Amazon forests during that time. If events like this happen more often, the Amazon rainforest would reach a point where it shifts from being a valuable carbon sink slowing climate change to a major source of greenhouse gases that could speed it up. Having two events of this magnitude in such close succession is extremely unusual, but is unfortunately consistent with those climate models that project a grim future for Amazonia."
The study, published in the journal Science, analysed satellite data on rainfall across two million square miles of rainforest during the 2010 dry season. The scientists were able to make a direct comparison with an earlier study of the 2005 drought, which also looked at the effect of the low rainfall on the growth of trees.
In the 2005 drought, the scientists estimated that the rainforest turned from a net absorber of about two billion tonnes of carbon dioxide to an exporter of some five billion tonnes of carbon dioxide, which is almost as much as the 5.4 billion tonnes emitted annually by the US.
However, the drought last year was more widespread and more intense than the earlier drought, with a far bigger impact on the growth and death of trees, which is why the scientists expect the overall release of carbon dioxide from dead and decaying organic matter to reach eight billion tonnes.
"The extent of the 2010 drought was much larger than in 2005. In 2010, the Rio Negro river, which is the biggest tributary to the Amazon, was at its lowest level since records began at the start of the 20th century, so we have independent evidence of these droughts," Dr Lewis said.
Normally, the cycle of droughts that hit the Amazon affect northern areas of the region and are associated with the natural el Niño phenomenon in the Pacific Ocean. However, the 2005 and 2010 droughts occurred further south and may be linked with higher sea-surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean, the scientists said.
"In 2005, the spatial pattern of the drought affecting the south and southwest of the Amazon was very different from the usual droughts that impact the Amazon every five to seven years associated with el Niño events, which tend to affect the north-east. When climatologists investigated why, they associated it with Atlantic sea-surface temperatures," Dr Lewis said.
"In 2010 we see a drought with a very similar spatial pattern, again affecting the south and the south-west of the Amazon basin, and very similar to 2005, and we know that the Atlantic sea-surface temperatures were anomalously high, but the work has not been done yet to say definitively that that is the cause. Our best hypothesis at the present time is that this 2010 drought was associated with Atlantic sea-surface temperatures, but we have to wait until those scientific papers go through the peer-review process before we can say that more concretely."
Peter Cox, of Exeter University, who analysed the 2005 drought, said: "The droughts in Amazonia in 2005 and 2010 were both associated with unusually warm ocean temperatures in the tropical North Atlantic. This tends to draw the region of most intense rainfall further north and delays the wet season in Amazonia."
Australia Evacuates Coastal Cities as Cyclone Nears
The Jordan Times (Reuters)
Wednesday February 2, 2011
Townsville, Australia - Australia evacuated thousands of people from its northeast coast on Tuesday as a cyclone rivalling Hurricane Katrina bore down on tourism towns and rural communities, with officials saying it could even threaten areas deep inland that were ruined by floods last month.
Wednesday February 2, 2011
Townsville, Australia - Australia evacuated thousands of people from its northeast coast on Tuesday as a cyclone rivalling Hurricane Katrina bore down on tourism towns and rural communities, with officials saying it could even threaten areas deep inland that were ruined by floods last month.
Mines, rail lines and coal ports were closed in Queensland state as Cyclone Yasi headed towards the coast. Up to a third of Australia's sugar crop was also under threat, officials said.
"This storm is huge and life threatening," Queensland Premier Anna Bligh said, warning the system was intensifying and picking up speed on its path from the Coral Sea, with destructive winds expected from Wednesday morning.
Cyclone Yasi is expected to generate winds of up to 280 kph (175 mph) and bring heavy rain when it hits the northern coast of tropical Queensland state late on Wednesday, matching the strength of Katrina, which devastated New Orleans in 2005.
The Bureau of Meteorology upgraded Yasi to a category four storm on Tuesday evening and said its very destructive winds would pose a serious threat. Sea levels would rise significantly as it crossed the coast, the bureau said on its website.
With a strong monsoon feeding Yasi's 650km wide front, the storm was also expected to maintain its intensity long after smashing into the coast and could sweep inland as far as the outback mining city of Mt Isa, 900km inland.
More than 400,000 people live in the cyclone's expected path, which includes the cities of Cairns, Townsville and Mackay, which are also main tourist areas and take in Australia's Great Barrier Reef.
The military was evacuating nearly 40,000 people from low-lying coastal areas overnight on Tuesday, officials said.
Queensland, which accounts for about a fifth of Australia's economy and 90 percent of steelmaking coal exports worth about $20 billion a year, has had a cruel summer, with floods sweeping the eastern seaboard over the past month, killing 35 people.
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